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SPY's Sneaky Rounded Top: Is the Bull Run Finally Rounding Over? Traders, Proceed with Caution

SPY's Sneaky Rounded Top: Is the Bull Run Finally Rounding Over? Traders, Proceed with Caution

After a strong multi-month grind higher, SPY is showing classic signs of exhaustion. A rounded top could be forming — here's what to watch and why I'm turning more defensive right now.

Market Update - Feb 15, 2026

Market Update - Feb 15, 2026

The Macro View: Searching for a Bottom The non-stop beating for tech

$QQQ hit target today - Feb 13

$QQQ hit target today - Feb 13

While the broader market was still pumping on momentum, our systematic models flagged a high-quality short entry for $QQQ at 610.70. Within 72 hours, the tape confirmed our data, hitting the target at 600.65.

The flush is complete

The flush is complete

The VIX has hit a key reversal level at 18.50, triggering a risk-off signal for most stocks. Note that not all stocks participated in this rally continuing to make this is stock picker's market.

Our View of the Market Right Now

Our View of the Market Right Now

The market character has shifted from "reallocation" to "liquidation." Here is what the data says about the bottom.

$NVDA not looking great

$NVDA not looking great

Here's the signal we got for $NVDA two days ago on Feb 2. Consistent follow through. Any further major move could signal further significant selling. It's in a danger zone right now.

$USAR likely to hit 30

$USAR likely to hit 30

It appears that the FOMO rally beating in $USAR is done and we are going to see an upward move.

Continuation rally in $AA

Continuation rally in $AA

Our model predicts that $AA will see a continuation rally. Given the price action, it appears like it's going to make new highs over time.

Key Reversals Confirmed: Why I Called the Bottom Yesterday

Key Reversals Confirmed: Why I Called the Bottom Yesterday

The Dow, Nasdaq, and Russell just printed massive bullish reversal bars. Here is the data—and the specific AAPL signal I used to catch this move 10 days early.

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